by Gerhard Massenbauer | Jun 1, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
The performance of the major currencies against the euro varied last month, but they remained strong against the US dollar throughout. Both the pound and the yen still face the prospect of weaker exchange rates. While the pound is fairly valued or slightly overvalued,...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | May 11, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
Peter Magyar’s decisive election victory is a sensation, even if the exact nature of the changes to Hungarian politics is unclear. The only thing that is clear is that the Orbán system has collapsed, despite the highest regulatory hurdles being in place. Magyar can...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | May 4, 2026 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
The USD remains flat. In the editorial of Issue 8, I outlined a risk scenario that is becoming increasingly likely while the US continues to block the Strait of Hormuz unrestrainedly. This measure is tactically understandable, as it prevents the Tehran regime from...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Apr 20, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
The Names Given to the Measures Against Iran Are as Aggressive as They Are Straightforward In this issue, I would like to take a closer look at the state of the U.S. economy, examining debt, growth and inflation trends. I believe that examining these aspects in more...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Apr 4, 2026 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
I refer to short-term movements with low volatility as ‘noise’. In the case of EUR/USD, volatility is considered low when the currency pair’s movements remain within a range of ±3% of a reference value. At the start of the year, the EUR/USD exchange rate...
