by Gerhard Massenbauer | May 4, 2026 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
The USD remains flat. In the editorial of Issue 8, I outlined a risk scenario that is becoming increasingly likely while the US continues to block the Strait of Hormuz unrestrainedly. This measure is tactically understandable, as it prevents the Tehran regime from...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Apr 20, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
The Names Given to the Measures Against Iran Are as Aggressive as They Are Straightforward In this issue, I would like to take a closer look at the state of the U.S. economy, examining debt, growth and inflation trends. I believe that examining these aspects in more...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Apr 13, 2026 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
The ‘surprise war’ launched by the US and Israel against Iran has not only caused stock markets to plummet in recent days — a 8% drop over two days is not even a particularly strong reaction — but has also effectively doubled the price of petrol....
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Apr 4, 2026 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
I refer to short-term movements with low volatility as ‘noise’. In the case of EUR/USD, volatility is considered low when the currency pair’s movements remain within a range of ±3% of a reference value. At the start of the year, the EUR/USD exchange rate...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Feb 16, 2026 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
The outlook for emerging markets is steadily improving. Inflation rates in these markets have been significantly more favourable over the past 15 years than in previous decades. Additionally, many countries have improved their structural conditions because their...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Feb 11, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
The USD started the new year weakly. There was temporarily very high pressure, causing the USD to fall to 1.2050 against the euro. Currently, the USD is hovering around the 1.18 mark, and I expect this to be the average exchange rate over the coming weeks. If you need...
