CEE Currencies Hit by Risk-Off Sentiment

by | 15. April 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

CEE currencies have come under pressure in the last two weeks, while the rouble and the TRY have held up relatively well. The fall in equity prices has always put pressure on CEE currencies. It was predictable that the US tariff policy would be critical for equity...
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Emerging Markets Squeezed: Currencies, Gold and Geopolitical Disruption

by | 9. April 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

Many emerging market currencies are currently under severe pressure, not only from macroeconomic uncertainties but also from geopolitical tensions. Many EM countries are undergoing strategic rebalancing and looking for alternatives to the dominance of the US dollar....
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Reciprocal Tariffs: Danger for Asia, Opportunity to Re-direct Capital Flows?

by | 4. April 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

The imminent move by the US government to harmonise tariffs on more than 2.5 million imported products represents a massive intervention in the current structure of international trade. The aim is to create a level playing field: If Thailand, for example, imposes a...
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Is the USD at the Beginning of a Period of Weakness? – A Look at Current Capital Flows and Exchange Rate Dynamics

by | 31. March 2025 | Analysis, General, Markets | 0 Comments

The US dollar may be at an inflection point - but is it really time to expect sustained weakness? Recent moves in currency markets suggest that the forces behind exchange rates may be shifting. However, the causes are not directly related to interest rate...
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Pressure Mounts on Kiev

by | 26. March 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

EU and CEE Facing Growing Uncertainty The good thing about current American policy is that it is working to end the war in Ukraine. Probably 750,000 people have died, most of them Russians, but it is an incredible bloodletting. The Americans' motivation is less...
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The Geopolitical Consequences of Washington’s Orchestration and its Economic Impact

by | 20. March 2025 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

The geopolitical developments of recent weeks have sent a clear signal: The US is reducing its direct support for Ukraine, while Europe is increasingly having to bear the burden of the conflict's aftermath. This shift has not only political but also serious financial...
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Emerging Markets Get Hammered

by | 14. March 2025 | Markets | 0 Comments

Geopolitical developments, in particular the protectionist economic policies of the US, are increasing capital flight from emerging markets. Investors are pulling out of risky investments, putting increasing devaluation pressure on EM currencies. Short and Medium Term...
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USD consolidation – The Geopolitical and Economic Consequences of Aggressive Fiscal Policy

by | 10. March 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

Current developments in the US suggest that the US dollar (USD) is in a consolidation phase. While President Trump's domestic policies are aimed at drastically reducing government spending and aggressively restructuring the economy, the effects of this strategy will...
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The Continuing Strength of the USD

by | 27. February 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

If you follow the thinking in the media, it would seem that the strength of the USD is a fact of life. I am not convinced that this trend will continue for very long. Since the USD crossed 1.0860 EUR/USD (lower band level 2023/2024), the euro has fallen very quickly....
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The US, China and the New Economic Reality – Waiting for What Comes Next

by | 21. February 2025 | Analysis, General | 0 Comments

The geopolitical and economic landscape is undergoing profound change. The US is at the centre of a global restructuring process accompanied by strategic economic policies. Changing approaches to trade and fiscal policy play a key role, in particular the increasing...
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