US Customs Policy: Impact on the USD and Emerging Markets

Economic development in the emerging markets has stagnated for over 15 years. The slump in commodity prices in 2012 and China's property crisis exacerbated structural weaknesses. Now US customs policy is placing additional burdens: High tariffs on Mexican exports and...

Is the “Red AI” Coming?

A Turning Point for Technological Supremacy and the USD The technological supremacy of US companies seemed almost untouchable in recent years. Innovations from Silicon Valley were perceived as the engine of global progress, supported by massive investments and a...

Firmly Into the New Year

Slight Improvement for CEE Currencies and Rouble Hardly a stone was left unturned at the end of the year and the beginning of the year also brought many new developments that could also bring improvements for Turkey. Towards the end of the year, there was a global...

The Continuing Strength of the USD

If you follow the thinking in the media, it seems that the strength of the USD is a fact of life. I am not convinced that this trend will continue for very long. Since the USD overcame 1.0860 EUR/USD (lower bandwidth level 2023/2024), the euro has fallen very quickly....

The Paradoxical Dynamics of the USD: Challenges and Prospects

The current economic situation in the USA is characterised by an exciting tension between growth, inflation expectations and a very strong currency. The US dollar (USD) is experiencing a strength that has far-reaching effects on global markets, the credit landscape...

Market Movements and Currency Developments: A look at C3 Currencies, the Rouble and the Turkish Lira

The financial markets are characterized by uncertainty. This is also reflected in the performance of the so-called C3 currencies (Polish Złoty, Czech Koruna and Hungarian Forint), but also in other currencies such as the Rouble and the Turkish Lira.

The Trump Trade and the Soaring USD

The latest developments in the EUR/USD market make the US dollar appear stronger than ever, and this against numerous global currencies. This is due to political factors: the results of the US elections and the continued dominance of the Republicans in both houses of...

Increased Volatility Ahead of the US Elections: Opportunities and Risks for Emerging Markets

In the run-up to the upcoming US presidential election, uncertain times are looming for the global financial markets. Historically, close and controversial election results have led to increased volatility. This uncertainty not only affects the US dollar, but also has...

Price stabilization – but the signs point to volatility

While the upcoming US presidential election is often overhyped, market volatility is likely to increase depending on the outcome. For investors looking for market movement, this presents an opportunity, while industrial companies face growing challenges. The last 15...

The USA defies the recession: consumption remains strong, interest rate cuts in sight

Ever since the US Federal Reserve (FED) began raising interest rates three years ago, a recession seemed inevitable. The economic backdrop was in favor of this: the fastest and strongest interest rate hikes in over 40 years and an ongoing war in Ukraine, which caused...

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Master of Data Science Vienna University of Technology, Bachelor of Computer Science University of Mostar.

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