by Gerhard Massenbauer | Jun 8, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
To understand the movements in EUR/USD over the past year, it is not helpful to pay too much attention to what is written or said about it online or on LinkedIn. In fact, over the past 13 months, the EUR/USD exchange rate has fluctuated by only +/- 3% within a fairly...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Jun 1, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
The performance of the major currencies against the euro varied last month, but they remained strong against the US dollar throughout. Both the pound and the yen still face the prospect of weaker exchange rates. While the pound is fairly valued or slightly overvalued,...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | May 11, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
Peter Magyar’s decisive election victory is a sensation, even if the exact nature of the changes to Hungarian politics is unclear. The only thing that is clear is that the Orbán system has collapsed, despite the highest regulatory hurdles being in place. Magyar can...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | May 4, 2026 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
The USD remains flat. In the editorial of Issue 8, I outlined a risk scenario that is becoming increasingly likely while the US continues to block the Strait of Hormuz unrestrainedly. This measure is tactically understandable, as it prevents the Tehran regime from...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Apr 28, 2026 | General
If the U.S. does not want to be held responsible for triggering a global economic crisis with this disastrous war, I think it is now under considerable pressure to agree to a peace deal with Iran. A long time ago, I noticed that virtually every stock market and...
