by Gerhard Massenbauer | May 15, 2025 | General
Following Trump’s tariff announcement on 2 April, it was not only the stock and bond markets that were in turmoil. The consequences of this risk-off sentiment were also clearly visible in the currency markets. CEE currencies reacted to stock market upheavals...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | May 12, 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
In my last article, published on 2 April, I warned of an impending slump in stock markets and emerging market currencies. While it was clear that tariffs were coming, what Trump presented as reciprocal tariffs came as a shock to capital market participants, myself...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | May 8, 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
The Euro is Only Part of the Story Over the past few months, I have repeatedly pointed out that it makes no sense to look at the USD against the euro. The USD has risen against all other currencies over the past 15 years and now, as expected, it is starting to fall...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Apr 29, 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
The past few weeks have seen very wide swings in international stock and bond markets. Long-term interest rates have risen across the board, not only in the US but also in Europe and Japan. In particular, interest rates have undergone a correction in recent days,...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Apr 15, 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
CEE currencies have come under pressure in the last two weeks, while the rouble and the TRY have held up relatively well. The fall in equity prices has always put pressure on CEE currencies. It was predictable that the US tariff policy would be critical for equity...
