by Gerhard Massenbauer | Mar 14, 2025 | Markets
Geopolitical developments, in particular the protectionist economic policies of the US, are increasing capital flight from emerging markets. Investors are pulling out of risky investments, putting increasing devaluation pressure on EM currencies. Short and Medium Term...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Mar 10, 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
Current developments in the US suggest that the US dollar (USD) is in a consolidation phase. While President Trump’s domestic policies are aimed at drastically reducing government spending and aggressively restructuring the economy, the effects of this strategy...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Feb 27, 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
If you follow the thinking in the media, it would seem that the strength of the USD is a fact of life. I am not convinced that this trend will continue for very long. Since the USD crossed 1.0860 EUR/USD (lower band level 2023/2024), the euro has fallen very quickly....
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Feb 10, 2025 | Markets
Stocks and Gold Rise as Trump Gets Going The Fed announced a pause in interest rates at last week’s meeting in order to await further developments in the data situation. The labour market is consolidating at a good level and the economy is booming. Jay Powell...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Feb 4, 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
Economic development in the emerging markets has stagnated for over 15 years. The slump in commodity prices in 2012 and China’s property crisis exacerbated structural weaknesses. Now US customs policy is placing additional burdens: High tariffs on Mexican...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Jan 19, 2025 | Analysis, General, Markets
If you follow the thinking in the media, it seems that the strength of the USD is a fact of life. I am not convinced that this trend will continue for very long. Since the USD overcame 1.0860 EUR/USD (lower bandwidth level 2023/2024), the euro has fallen very quickly....