by Gerhard Massenbauer | Feb 16, 2026 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
The outlook for emerging markets is steadily improving. Inflation rates in these markets have been significantly more favourable over the past 15 years than in previous decades. Additionally, many countries have improved their structural conditions because their...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Feb 11, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
The USD started the new year weakly. There was temporarily very high pressure, causing the USD to fall to 1.2050 against the euro. Currently, the USD is hovering around the 1.18 mark, and I expect this to be the average exchange rate over the coming weeks. If you need...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Feb 6, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
Fourteen months ago, I anticipated a rise in Asian currencies and expected this to fuel a recovery, which would in turn fuel further growth. As far as the CNY was concerned, this expectation was essentially realised in 2024, but was completely reversed in anticipation...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Jan 22, 2026 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
In light of the events at the beginning of the year, the limited reaction of the stock markets and exchange rates is surprising. The idea that aggressive actions are being taken but remain within a narrowly limited framework has become established. This no longer...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Jan 19, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
Donald Trump has now completely undermined the Nobel Peace Prize, making it clear that the US no longer cares about the order it has spent the last 70 years building up. The pursuit of power and the securing of spheres of influence and raw materials are giving way to...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Jan 15, 2026 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
There has been little outrage in Latin America. Although Brazil and Mexico have lodged official protests, they have essentially remained calm. While it is inconceivable that the US could implement such a measure across the board, it cannot be ruled out that it could...