by Gerhard Massenbauer | Feb 6, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
Fourteen months ago, I anticipated a rise in Asian currencies and expected this to fuel a recovery, which would in turn fuel further growth. As far as the CNY was concerned, this expectation was essentially realised in 2024, but was completely reversed in anticipation...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Jan 19, 2026 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
Donald Trump has now completely undermined the Nobel Peace Prize, making it clear that the US no longer cares about the order it has spent the last 70 years building up. The pursuit of power and the securing of spheres of influence and raw materials are giving way to...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | May 15, 2025 | General
Following Trump’s tariff announcement on 2 April, it was not only the stock and bond markets that were in turmoil. The consequences of this risk-off sentiment were also clearly visible in the currency markets. CEE currencies reacted to stock market upheavals...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Mar 31, 2025 | Analysis, General, Markets
The US dollar may be at an inflection point – but is it really time to expect sustained weakness? Recent moves in currency markets suggest that the forces behind exchange rates may be shifting. However, the causes are not directly related to interest rate...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Mar 20, 2025 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
The geopolitical developments of recent weeks have sent a clear signal: The US is reducing its direct support for Ukraine, while Europe is increasingly having to bear the burden of the conflict’s aftermath. This shift has not only political but also serious...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Feb 21, 2025 | Analysis, General
The geopolitical and economic landscape is undergoing profound change. The US is at the centre of a global restructuring process accompanied by strategic economic policies. Changing approaches to trade and fiscal policy play a key role, in particular the increasing...
