by Gerhard Massenbauer | May 15, 2025 | General
Following Trump’s tariff announcement on 2 April, it was not only the stock and bond markets that were in turmoil. The consequences of this risk-off sentiment were also clearly visible in the currency markets. CEE currencies reacted to stock market upheavals...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Mar 31, 2025 | Analysis, General, Markets
The US dollar may be at an inflection point – but is it really time to expect sustained weakness? Recent moves in currency markets suggest that the forces behind exchange rates may be shifting. However, the causes are not directly related to interest rate...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Mar 20, 2025 | Analysis, General, Markets, Multi-currency
The geopolitical developments of recent weeks have sent a clear signal: The US is reducing its direct support for Ukraine, while Europe is increasingly having to bear the burden of the conflict’s aftermath. This shift has not only political but also serious...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Feb 21, 2025 | Analysis, General
The geopolitical and economic landscape is undergoing profound change. The US is at the centre of a global restructuring process accompanied by strategic economic policies. Changing approaches to trade and fiscal policy play a key role, in particular the increasing...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Jan 29, 2025 | Analysis, General
A Turning Point for Technological Supremacy and the USD The technological supremacy of US companies seemed almost untouchable in recent years. Innovations from Silicon Valley were perceived as the engine of global progress, supported by massive investments and a...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Jan 19, 2025 | Analysis, General, Markets
If you follow the thinking in the media, it seems that the strength of the USD is a fact of life. I am not convinced that this trend will continue for very long. Since the USD overcame 1.0860 EUR/USD (lower bandwidth level 2023/2024), the euro has fallen very quickly....
