Exchange Rates for EM Currencies are to Remain Fixed

by | 26. September 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

Emerging markets generally experience gains in value during periods of relative weakness in the USD. Over the past 18 months, the Fed's failure to significantly cut interest rates, unlike in Europe and Asia where inflation rates fell more sharply, has had a negative...
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There are Important Developments Underway on a Large Scale

by | 22. September 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

The Race is on! Who Will Last the Longest? In recent years, I have repeatedly pointed out that it is no surprise that the US is growing faster and is more productive than Europe, because, unlike in Europe, credit growth was not reduced, but instead massively...
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Lack of Orientation at Present

by | 17. September 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

Further Developments are Dependent on the USD Following the sharp decline in the value of the US dollar in spring, which weakened major currencies against the euro, the situation calmed down over the summer. In particular, the Swiss franc has stabilised and regained...
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Limited Movement in Trend: USD Weakness Boosts Asian Trade

by | 12. September 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

In the medium term, the pressure exerted by the US is causing Asian countries to form closer ties with each other. Meanwhile, China is presenting itself as a stable haven and increasing its activity in Asia and beyond. The West's High Level of Debt is its Achilles...
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There may be Some Movement in Autumn

by | 8. September 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

A few weeks ago, hopes were raised that the war in Ukraine could be ended following the meeting between Putin and Trump. While I am not yet completely hopeless, developments over the past week suggest that a resolution will not come quickly. There is also a risk of...
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High Real Interest Rates are Behind the Strong Trend

by | 3. September 2025 | Analysis, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

The prospect of falling interest rates in the U.S. could bode well for currency developments in emerging markets. Last year, many central banks did not cut interest rates because they were concerned that doing so would further weaken their currencies if US interest...
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Stable Majors

by | 29. August 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

However, a Brief Correction is Possible The last few weeks have seen fairly stable conditions regarding the euro and the U.S. dollar. This stability has also been reflected in stable cross-currency relationships between major currencies. I currently see little reason...
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Will Trump become the great peacemaker?

by | 22. August 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

And if So, Why? Despite ordering an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities, it is clear that President Trump is pursuing a generally peace-oriented policy. He has put economic pressure on Thailand to end its armed conflict with Cambodia before it escalates into war....
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Optimism Still Prevails

by | 18. August 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

US Tariffs Have Not Yet Had an Impact Given the extent of U.S. intervention in international trade, it is surprising how little this intervention is reflected in the exchange rates of the U.S. dollar. The USD continues to weaken proportionally when compared to both...
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The Current Situation on the Stock Markets and in the CEE Region is One of Calm

by | 8. August 2025 | Analysis, Multi-currency | 0 Comments

In the case of CEE currencies, stock market performance is almost as important as economic development in these countries. In terms of economic development, it is noteworthy that there has been a return to price stability and economic expansion in recent quarters....
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