by Gerhard Massenbauer | May 5, 2025 | Analysis, Multi-currency
The tremors caused by Trump’s tariff considerations have only just come to a halt. After the shock of his statement on Easter Monday that he wanted to fire Jay Powell, which he refused to do on Easter Tuesday, the USD fell to as low as 1.1575 EUR/USD. There is a...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Apr 29, 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
The past few weeks have seen very wide swings in international stock and bond markets. Long-term interest rates have risen across the board, not only in the US but also in Europe and Japan. In particular, interest rates have undergone a correction in recent days,...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Apr 15, 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
CEE currencies have come under pressure in the last two weeks, while the rouble and the TRY have held up relatively well. The fall in equity prices has always put pressure on CEE currencies. It was predictable that the US tariff policy would be critical for equity...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Apr 9, 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
Many emerging market currencies are currently under severe pressure, not only from macroeconomic uncertainties but also from geopolitical tensions. Many EM countries are undergoing strategic rebalancing and looking for alternatives to the dominance of the US dollar....
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Apr 4, 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
The imminent move by the US government to harmonise tariffs on more than 2.5 million imported products represents a massive intervention in the current structure of international trade. The aim is to create a level playing field: If Thailand, for example, imposes a...
by Gerhard Massenbauer | Mar 26, 2025 | Analysis, Markets, Multi-currency
EU and CEE Facing Growing Uncertainty The good thing about current American policy is that it is working to end the war in Ukraine. Probably 750,000 people have died, most of them Russians, but it is an incredible bloodletting. The Americans’ motivation is less...
